Moneyline 156-41 (79.2%) at the 60%+ tier. 79 graded days, Mar 12, 2026 – Jun 13, 2026, playoffs included. Every pick is settled against the final box score the next morning; the record was rebuilt from the daily archives on 2026-09-20 so each row is reproducible.
| Market | Play rule | Record | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | model ≥ 60% | 156-41 | 79.2% |
| Spread | projected margin ≥ 5 | 155-52 | 74.9% |
| Totals | strong play, 60–70% | 58-46 | 55.8% |
| Points | model ≥ 65% | 462-451 | 50.6% |
| Rebounds † | model ≥ 65% vs its own line | 203-90 | 69.3% |
| Assists | model ≥ 65% | 450-337 | 57.2% |
| Double-double | model ≥ 60% | 93-53 | 63.7% |
| Triple-double | model ≥ 30% | 11-10 | 52.4% |
Green clears the -110 break-even of 52.4%; amber does not. † Rebounds is graded against a line the model sets from the player's own recent average (no book carries one), so its hit rate is not comparable to a market price. Tonight's boards: points, rebounds, assists, double-doubles. How the props are graded; how the moneyline model reaches 79%. The dashboard below is the same tracker, live.